Trump or Harris? 3 Critical Impacts of the US Presidential Election on the Middle East and Global Warfare

Global politics is confronting the most fragile geopolitical fault lines since the end of the Second World War. The war of attrition between Ukraine and Russia, escalation across Lebanon and Gaza, and growing Pacific tensions around the Taiwan Strait threaten global stability simultaneously.

At the center of these overlapping crises lies the outcome of the US presidential elections, prompting both allied capitals and strategic rivals to re-evaluate their long-term security commitments.

The post-Cold War unipolar moment has definitively given way to multipolarity, accelerated by BRICS expansion and the strategic agency of the Global South. Russia’s transition to a wartime economy and China’s dominance across green technology and rare earth mineral supply chains have fundamentally altered global leverage.

Key trajectories facing international policymakers include:

The Bilginet Analysis Desk emphasizes that international relations has entered an era of pragmatic transactionalism. Strategic middle powers like Türkiye—capable of maintaining constructive dialogue with both NATO partners and Eurasian powers—will play disproportionately vital roles in crisis de-escalation.

Source: Bilginet Analysis Desk Exclusive Report